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24 Feb Starmer and Macron Visit to the US, Will It Rewrite the Global Geopolitical Landscape

Posted at 08:50h in Blog, Events, Leadership Development, Organizational Development, Personal Development, Updates by
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I’m very curious to see how this week transpires. Two European leaders- Keir Starmer and Emanuel Macron, are coming to the US to visit (influence/negotiate) Trump.

Here are some facts:

  • The Trump Administration is negotiating with Russia to end the war in Ukraine.
  • EU and Ukrainian leadership are piqued because they’ve not been invited to participate in the bilateral negotiations, which started when Trump called Putin, followed by the meeting of the high-level diplomatic delegation of the US led by Macro Rubio and the Russian delegation led by Sergie Lavrov last week in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

As a leadership professional, I study how and what leaders use to exert INFLUENCE, especially those who don’t have lots of leverage.

The stakes are high for Starmer and Macron. They don’t say it publicly but silently; they are worried that dropping Ukraine is the first of many moves that may result in the US leaving Europe, even abandoning NATO.

The key questions are:

  1. Will Trump put his priority to pivoting to Asia and becoming actively involved in America’s backyard in South America on hold and continue supporting the war on European soil, or will he say ‘no, thank you’ and normalize relations with Russia?
  2. Will the two European leaders come up with multiple options (for instance, just settling to keep the US in NATO, its military bases, and deterrence forces in Europe), or will they stick with one option, that is, to keep the US not just in Europe but also in the Ukraine war, risking World War 3 and even nuclear exchange with Russia?

I’m just wondering and thinking loudly while waiting to see how POWER POLITICS among these nations play out:

  1. Unless I’m missing something, can Starmer and Macron, with approval ratings of 20% and 21%, respectively, influence Trump to make a decision that may antagonize his voters and risk losing the 46% approval rating he is currently enjoying?
  2. Considering the US Superpower status with so many economic, military, and diplomatic advantages over Europe, what stops Trump from threatening to leave NATO and Europe unless they fall in line and support his peace initiative, even if they’re not getting seats at the table?
  3. If they don’t get what they want, will Starmer and Macron threaten to adopt their own foreign policy that may not align with the US’s interests, at least in Europe, for the first time over seven decades? If they take this route, given that China and Russia have the backing of BRICS nations, who will lose the most from this new geopolitical rearrangement—the US or Europe?

This week’s outcome of these meetings (mini negotiations) will have significant implications for the future of America, Europe, and humanity. The end results may rewrite the GLOBAL GEOPOLITICAL LANDSCAPE, shaping the world’s power structure in the next couple of decades, if not 100 years.

While waiting to see what happens, let me pick your brain:

  • Did I miss anything?
  • What do you think will transpire?
  • If you’re an American like me, what is BEST for the US and its people? And why?
  • If you’re European, what is BEST for the continent?
  • Will Trump’s refusal to bend lead to the divorce of the TRANSATLANTIC ALLIANCE? If so, who are the BIG WINNERS and LOSERS? Or will the alliance survive its BIGGEST test?